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Any one of those players could find their way to a dozen touchdowns, arguably just as easily as Chubb - especially if Jacoby Brissett is the starting QB for much of the season - and they all might triple Chubb's reception totals.
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There's room for him to outperform that ADP, but it probably requires him to find the end zone a decent amount more than he did last season, and that's where it gets somewhat tough for me to justify targeting him ahead of the likes of Aaron Jones, Saquon Barkley or Leonard Fournette. Of course, Chubb is just RB11 in ADP at NFC right now, so his price is more than fair for the kind of player he is. And even that might not be enough - he was second in rushing yards in just 14 games last season and was RB12 in per-game scoring at a relatively paltry 15.5. Could he be a top-five running back in PPR scoring? Yeah, probably, but the path there is a narrow one - he would need to stay healthy for every game and probably be in the top two or three in both rushing yards and touchdowns. Which limits both his floor and ceiling on a weekly and season-long basis. It's not quite right to say he's a "touchdown-or-bust" player - and it wouldn't really be a fair critique, given how often he scores - but as long as he remains effectively a non-factor in the passing game, Chubb is going to be more reliant on finding the end zone than just about any top-tier running back in the game. That's how many times Nick Chubb reached double digits in Fantasy scoring last season in games where he didn't score a touchdown. WR: Jarvis Landry* WR51, Donovan Peoples-Jones WR63 Until we find out if he's going to be suspended, it remains hard to know what to make of this team, but at this point, it seems more likely than not they'll be without Watson for much if not all of the season. The Browns took a big swing this offseason in trading for Deshaun Watson, who didn't play last season and remains under investigation by the NFL for multiple allegations of sexual misconduct.